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Cebul.la · Writing

What’s a good Fran (CrossFit) time?

A good Fran is 2:59 for men and 3:56 for women. A great Fran is 2:32 for men and 3:05 for women. A good time beats about 75% of the people who posted a Fran on a CrossFit Games profile, and a great time beats about 90%. The median posted time is 3:56 for men and 5:09 for women.

Fran is 21-15-9 of barbell thrusters and pull-ups, for time.

  • 21 barbell thrusters
  • 21 pull-ups
  • 15 barbell thrusters
  • 15 pull-ups
  • 9 barbell thrusters
  • 9 pull-ups

Men use 95 lb. Women use 65 lb. A thruster is a front squat into a push press.

Where these times come from

I pulled self-reported benchmark scores from CrossFit Games athlete profiles, athlete IDs 1 through 299,999. The scrape has 60,843 men and 34,241 women. Of those, 25,628 men and 8,030 women had typed in a Fran time. I kept times from 1:40 to 20:00, which leaves 25,518 men and 8,012 women. The other 128 times fall outside that window, including 0:01 and half-hour entries.

An earlier version of this post used a much smaller scrape from 2014: 714 men and 198 women. That scrape is described in Gathering CrossFit data: the methodology. The times below replace those figures.

About 42% of the men and 23% of the women on these profiles posted a Fran. People who know their time and take the trouble to enter it are a fitter group than a typical CrossFit class. A time that looks ordinary in the charts below can still be a strong time at your gym. The profile records the time and leaves out the load on the bar. Men who finish from 2:00 up to 3:00 report a median clean and jerk of 285 lb. Men who finish from 7:00 up report a median of 195 lb, which lines up with the fast times being the 95 lb workout.

How the times are spread

For men, the mean is 4:26 and the median is 3:56. The mean is slower because of a long tail past 7:00. Just over half of the men’s times fall from 2:00 up to 4:00. A 2:59 beats about 75% of the men, a 2:32 beats about 90%, and a 2:21 beats about 95%. Each bar below is one minute, so the 3:00 bar is times from 3:00 up to 4:00.

Men’s Fran times
Show the numbers
TimeAthletes
<2:0050
2:006,439
3:006,683
4:004,888
5:003,070
6:001,853
7:001,092
8:00622
9:00373
10:00186
11:00100
12:00+162

For women, the mean is 5:32 and the median is 5:09. The times spread wider than the men’s. A little over half fall from 3:00 up to 6:00, and the busiest minute is 4:00 to 5:00. A 3:56 beats about 75% of the women, a 3:05 beats about 90%, and a 2:45 beats about 95%. A good women’s time in this set, 3:56, is the same number as the median men’s time.

Women’s Fran times
Show the numbers
TimeAthletes
<2:004
2:00682
3:001,440
4:001,649
5:001,456
6:001,085
7:00676
8:00426
9:00279
10:00135
11:0081
12:00+99

The table is the lookup. Each percentage is the share of posted times slower than the time in the first column. A man who finishes in 4:00 has beaten 47.7% of the men here. A woman who finishes in 4:00 has beaten 73.0%.

How a Fran time ranks
TimeMenWomen
2:0099.7%100.0%
2:3090.5%97.4%
3:0073.8%91.0%
3:3060.8%83.3%
4:0047.7%73.0%
4:3037.8%63.1%
5:0028.6%52.3%
5:3022.7%43.5%
6:0016.8%34.3%
6:3013.2%27.0%
7:009.7%20.9%
7:307.5%16.6%
8:005.5%12.4%
8:304.3%9.9%
9:003.1%7.2%
9:302.4%5.5%
10:001.7%3.8%

Age

The headline numbers mix every age together. A good Fran at 45 is a slower time than a good Fran at 28. In the individual division, ages 18-34, the median is 3:34 for men and 4:53 for women. The time that beats about 75% of that division is 2:48 for men and 3:45 for women. From there the median slows by roughly a minute every five to ten years. In the tables, the count of posted times is in parentheses. The 75th column beats about 75% of that age group, and the 50th column is the median.

Teens barely appear in this scrape, 16 boys and 9 girls with a usable time, so they are left out of the tables. The 60+ women’s row is 36 athletes.

Men’s Fran times by age
Age75th50th
18-34 (15,238)2:483:34
35-39 (4,086)3:054:00
40-44 (3,284)3:354:34
45-49 (1,764)3:555:01
50-54 (697)4:335:47
55-59 (291)4:486:18
60+ (142)5:466:58
Women’s Fran times by age
Age75th50th
18-34 (4,927)3:454:53
35-39 (1,246)3:555:04
40-44 (1,003)4:185:28
45-49 (518)4:486:02
50-54 (205)5:276:35
55-59 (68)5:466:54
60+ (36)6:307:30

Predicting a Fran time

Three other numbers on the same profile predict a Fran time pretty well: max clean and jerk, max unbroken pull-ups, and body weight. Among the 15,724 men who posted all three, those inputs account for 67% of the variation in Fran times.

Fran seconds =e6.6139−0.00465 × clean and jerk lb−0.01145 × max pull-ups+0.00237 × body weight lb

Clean and jerks and body weights posted in kilograms were converted to pounds. For a man at 180 lb, with a 200 lb clean and jerk and 20 unbroken pull-ups, the formula gives 358 seconds, or 5:58.

  • Each extra unbroken pull-up is associated with a Fran about 1.1% faster.
  • Each extra pound on the clean and jerk is associated with a Fran about 0.5% faster.
  • Each extra pound of body weight is associated with a Fran about 0.2% slower.

For the 4,093 women who posted all three, the same inputs account for 68% of the variation.

Fran seconds =e6.5395−0.00679 × clean and jerk lb−0.01264 × max pull-ups+0.00391 × body weight lb

For a woman at 140 lb, with a 155 lb clean and jerk and 15 unbroken pull-ups, the formula gives 5:45. The associations are about 1.3% faster per extra pull-up, 0.7% faster per extra pound on the clean and jerk, and 0.4% slower per extra pound of body weight.

These associations describe the athletes who posted their numbers. If the goal is a faster Fran, the largest association per extra rep is unbroken pull-ups, then a heavier clean and jerk. Body weight is the smallest of the three.